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Global Crisis Alert System Flags S&P 500 Market, BitCoin, and NVDA for Instability From Aug – October

by efrem on August 3 at 10:01 pm EST | Tags: , , , , , ,

Running Alpha’s Global Crisis Alert System has flagged the S&P 500 multi-fractal market structure on 3 axes of change ( Valuation, Liquidity, and Volatility ) for severe instability ahead.

The S&P 500 Market Meltdown is extremely near and in clear visibility across all time-frames from micro-structure to longer tail-horizons we focus on; once price breaches the 2460.25 to 2459.75 price zone on the September Futures S&P e-mini contract then this opens the flood gates for a massive plunge lower; and once below 2400, watch out!

The Tail-Risk Threat spans a window beginning anytime as early as starting before Aug 11th/14th +/- 3 days upward to October month end. This time zone marks the initiation of a Severe Correction ; so any rallies after this break will be severely limited in nature and time dimension. VIX should soar.

Also supporting these market views by Running Alpha is an independent research note by JP Morgan, where Marko Kolanovic, Global Head of Equity Derivatives and Delta One Strategy, sites a collapse in the correlation among equities & equity sectors in the benchmark indices, which have been shown to offer precursor signatures of market instability ahead. The S&P correlation matrix today is similar to what was observed in in 1993 and 2000, just prior to the 1994 sell off & 2001 Bear trend.

As indicated in a July 27th article by Tae Kim, an Investment Journalist at CNBC, along with CNBC’s Michael Bloom who contributed to this story —

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Toronto Fintech Firm Leverages the Power of Financial Uncertainty and Stretches the Limits of Human Perception and Machine Intelligence

Start Leveraging the Power of Financial Uncertainty and Stretching Your Limits of Human Perception and Machine Intelligence —

This is where Running Alpha comes in!

Efrem Hoffman, CEO & Founder of Running Alpha Investments Inc. passionately believes that to move the needle and produce portfolio alpha, you need forward decision-making that sees in all directions.

“STOP A STOCK trade and avoid a catastrophic global financial crash. Seal a microscopic crack and prevent a rocket explosion. Push a button to avert a citywide blackout.” [ Oct 29th, 2013 edition of Wired magazine ]

Though such situations are mostly fantasies, a new analysis framework suggests that certain types of extreme events occurring in complex systems can be predicted and averted.

“A chaotic system may be in flux, and appear like random behavior,” said physicist Daniel Gauthier of Duke University in the Oct. 30 edition of Physical Review Letters, and as appearing in the Oct 29th, 2013 edition of Wired magazine — “USING CHAOS THEORY TO PREDICT AND PREVENT CATASTROPHIC ‘DRAGON KING’ EVENTS .”

Hoffman’s independent research on a more fundamental mathematical physics basis agrees with the article views, which mentions that: “there’s subtle tells of internal structure that leads to destabilizing events.”

Hoffman adds that systematic measurement and perception biases embedded in the market mechanism of publicly-traded auction markets make them not only highly prone to such symmetry-breaking events, but also even more favorably amenable to prediction than using Dragon-King Analysis for studying and predicting super-exponential power law behavior in natural and physical systems.

By looking at “experimental chaotic systems” like the financial markets and the weather, Running Alpha’s founder has been telegraphing when crisis events will be approaching; exploiting market aberrations of these apparent surprise events for competitive advantage.

Through deliberately constructing portfolios, he is now focusing on using these tools for helping activist investors pre-empt or at least tame otherwise extreme and unstable behaviors from adversely impacting investor portfolios.

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Telegraphing Financial Vortices: Your Financial Data is Trying to Tell You Something: Is Your Digital Wealth Management Process Built to Hear it?

Telegraphing Financial Vortices: Your Financial Data is Trying to Tell You Something: Is Your Digital Wealth Management Process Built to Hear it?

The Fintech marketplace is in rapid flux; although we have a myriad of platforms for leveling the playing field between retail and institutional investors, they fall short at addressing the underlying physics of asset price movement and volatility behavior.

 

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Running Alpha Introduces ComfortShares (TM) Portfolio Indexing Methodology: Shrinking the Gap between Individual Investor and Fund Manager Performance

Toronto, CA June 11th, 2017

Serving as a passionate quantitative portfolio indexing practitioner and principal of the research intelligence and advisory firm, Running Alpha, Efrem Hoffman is actively engaged in developing an exciting new FinTech product, to be called ComfortShares (TM) that will also be the first ETF factor product that will address performance on a new anxiety-adjusted dimension and axis of change — the challenge of shrinking the gap between individual investor returns and fund performance.

The goal is to re-align the business alpha of both smart beta and active alpha managers with individual investor alpha, by not only targeting organic portfolio insurance against emotional and cognitive biases that get in the way of decision-making during episodes of volatility and draw-down, but also offering 360 degree protection during tranquil, low VIX market climates that display frequent episodes of flickering and unusual uncertainty.

The secret sauce lies not only in our proprietary quantitative metrics for constructing portfolios that exploit uncertainty for competitive advantage — via leveraging the collateral benefits of naturally occurring asymmetric sentiment and price feedback mechanisms embedded in the network effects of human and machine perceptions and marketplace interactions —

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How Tornado-Hunting Technology Is Helping Traders and Investors Predict the Financial Markets

Running Alpha’s CEO & Founder, Efrem Hoffman was recently Interviewed by Benzinga for an Exclusive NASDAQ.com Feature Article, which was released on May 10th, 2017.

The article showcases how Running Alpha, a Toronto-Based Fintech firm is redefining the meaning of information and unlocking new insights into asymmetric sentiment-biases for building smart portfolios that can hedge-for-a-profit instead of a cost against global market uncertainty and tail-risk volatility events.

Running Alpha’s Flagship products, the Grid 100 TM and Focus 15 TM are featured — specifically how they can help professional / retail traders and investors in their search for Alpha.

The article also gives some background on how Efrem Hoffman, the inventor of a new class of Big Data Machine Intelligence — also called DarkSight Algorithmic Technology TM ( Powered by Bottom-Down Artificial Intelligence TM) —

first used for Tornado-Chasing Atmospheric Radar Imagery of Cloud Droplet Reflectivity Patterns in the Sky, is now being applied for addressing the need for efficiently generating Anxiety-Adjusted Returns TM ( True Alpha ):

through Augmenting Human Portfolio Construction and Intelligently Predicting the Sentiment Jet-Stream of Human Perceptions and Investment Capital in World Financial Markets.

For Full Details of this exclusive NASDAQ article, Click Here

NOTE: “The views and opinions expressed in the article are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of NASDAQ, Inc.” [NASDAQ.com]

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The 9th Annual Trading Show Chicago is just around the corner, and Terrapinn is excited to announce the participation of Efrem Hoffman, CEO & Founder, Running Alpha Investments Inc.

by efrem on April 20 at 12:58 pm EST | Tags: , , ,

Join Efrem Hoffman, CEO & Founder of Running Alpha Investments, where he will go live as a KeyNote Panel Speaker & Roundtable Moderator of “Perception Arbitrage” & “Smart Beta 3.0” at the 2017 Chicago Trading Show.

Trading Show Chicago is a leading quant & algo trading event that brings together thought-leaders for showcases bleeding edge innovations and actionable research in Automated Trading, Quantitative Strategies, Big Data Finance, Exchange Technology, HPC, and BlockChain infrastructure.

Efrem will be participating in the panel discussion “Trading the Trump factor – a new source of portfolio alpha?” as well as leading roundtables on “perception arbitrage” and “smart beta 3.0.”

Terrapinn is excited to offer a limited number of complimentary VIP passes to qualified buy-side colleagues of Efrem’s from quant hedge funds, trading firms, investment banks, asset managers, pensions, endowment and foundations.

Apply for your VIP pass now >>

Here is a quick snapshot of the 9th annual Trading Show Chicago:

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You are Invited to a Live Interactive Fintech Media “Shindig”

by raadmin on May 16 at 1:35 pm EST |

Mark Your Calendar: May 18th, 5:00 PM – 6:00 PM ( EDT ) 2016

Join Benzinga FinTech Awards Nominee and Finalist, Running Alpha’s CEO and Founder Efrem Hoffman, as he Takes you on a: Virtual Walk into the Future of Global Investing Innovation with an Unusually Predictive and Prescriptive Digital Wealth-Building Advantage —

Efrem will: Explore Today’s Most Relevant Emerging Financial Market Trends; and Show You How You can Start Sharpening Your Edge for Profiting More Efficiently From Disruptive Change in Our Volatile Planet. With Insights and Foresights Powered by Proprietary DarkSite (TM ) Analytics Technology ( built in-house ), You will be be Given a Sneak Preview into a Bleeding-Edge Idea Discovery Platform that is: Re-Inventing the Next Machine Age of Self-Generative Smart Data Analytics Solutions — for: Systematically and Consistently Extracting Scalable Alpha Opportunities, while at the same time Defending Against Unknown Global Threats during episodes of Peak Uncertainty;

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Reserve Your Seat Now For a Special SHINDIG Hosted Live Interactive Presentation on May 18th, 2016 at 5:00PM – 6:00 PM (EDT) With CEO & Founder of Running Alpha Capital Markets Intelligence: A 2016 Benzinga FinTech Awards Nominee and Finalist: An Inside View of Running Alpha’s DarkSight Technology — Profiting From Disruptive Change in A Volatile Planet

by efrem on May 6 at 11:11 pm EST | Tags:

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Reserve Your Seat Now;

Profiting From Disruptive Change in A Volatile Planet
Inside the Running Alpha Technology
May 18, 5:00 – 6:00pm (EDT)

 

Join RunningAlpha’s CEO and Founder Efrem Hoffman in an interactive presentation discussing todays financial markets and how Running Alpha™ is your smarter way for seeing investment opportunities before they get noticed; helping investors be first at exploiting high-impact performance trends with confidence.

Running Alpha is launching Capital Market Trends, a premium alpha idea discovery platform for showcasing highly scalable and actionable investment and trading opportunities. Many traders with great strategies lose money because they do not have the confidence or trust in repeatedly following the process that led them to successful
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If You Love Hockey & Sports, You’ll Love Running Alpha’s Platform; Platform Update Complete by May 7th, 2016

by efrem on May 5 at 11:26 pm EST |

RunningAlpha.com is Now Live

Welcome to the Future! The Founder, Efrem Hoffman, is proud to introduce RunningAlpha.com

Running Alpha™ is your smarter way for anonymously seeing investment opportunities before they get noticed; helping investors be first at exploiting high-impact performance trends with confidence.

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